[Beowulf] MS HPC... Oh dear...
deadline at clustermonkey.net
Wed Jun 14 07:47:08 PDT 2006
Of course there is no absolute rule on how to maintain a market, but
stagecoach companies who did not recognize locomotives kind of missed
the technology curve.
Joking aside, there are things Linux can do that Windows (and any closed
source OS for that matter) cannot do. There are market segments where
these features are invaluable. I hate to keep dropping this link but,
take a look at "Why Linux On Clusters"
There are, of course, market segments where some of these features
are not that important and things like TCO, cost, integration,
and ease of use, may take precedence.
Microsoft recognizes this and I believe they are looking at more
"turn-key" verticals that are driven by ISV applications.
The one exciting thing about clusters is the technology has
redefined how supercomputing is done (now called HPC by the way). The
financial barrier to entry has been lowered by a factor of at
least 10 and therefore more market growth can be expected.
Ten years ago a high school or college could not even think
of doing protein folding, but now with a handful of reasonably
powerful PCs and Gromacs they can. There are other similar cases as well.
One technical point, measuring cluster usage is difficult because very few
vendors know where their hardware ends up. Of course one can count
the clusters IBM, Dell, HP, push out the door, but the number of
"dark clusters"* that come from white box companies is basically unknown.
I just got an idea for new Cluster Monkey poll.
* dark clusters - I first heard this used by IDC, like the
proposed dark matter, it is out there but we cannot see it.
> We are all sooooo technical!
> It does not work that way....
> Microsoft HPC will work IF the market wants the technology that they can
> supply. The answer is in market segments. And the Supercomputer market
> segment has been the science and engineering users of the last 30 years.
> It has not changed its market much. As technology got complex, the
> simulation market has grown some, but not to the extent of the word
> processing or spreadsheet market place or the home web access or gaming
> markets have grown over the same time period.
> The Linux HPC market is on the market demand track from CDC -> Cray ->
> Vax -> Unix Workstation -> Linux . It has grown modestly, but not
> enormously. Dual CPUs have a bigger growth market and potentially the
> Microsoft HPC could help develop 4-way and 8-way processors as standard
> Technical issues will not maintain the market for cluster computing. Nor
> will technical best-of-breed win over uninterested markets. The past is
> full of superior technical solutions losing to market accessible
> good-enough solutions ( eg betamax vs VHS and token ring vs Ethernet ..
> and the beat goes on...)
> To paraphrase, I know (some) Linux, Linux is a "friend" of mine, Windows
> is "No Linux" - but I doubt I am the market segment that Windows is "good
> enough" for.
> So please desist discussing technical superiority. Technical issues are
> not the key issue in market segment growth of HPCs. So lets see who wants
> CPU power with windows integration and discover how big that market is.
> Tom Pierce
> Bldg 7/ Rm 207D - Spring House, PA
> 215-641-7475 - Office _______________________________________________
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