[Beowulf] MS HPC... Oh dear...
Thomas H Dr Pierce
TPierce at rohmhaas.com
Tue Jun 13 07:48:57 PDT 2006
We are all sooooo technical!
It does not work that way....
Microsoft HPC will work IF the market wants the technology that they can
supply. The answer is in market segments. And the Supercomputer market
segment has been the science and engineering users of the last 30 years.
It has not changed its market much. As technology got complex, the
simulation market has grown some, but not to the extent of the word
processing or spreadsheet market place or the home web access or gaming
markets have grown over the same time period.
The Linux HPC market is on the market demand track from CDC -> Cray ->
Vax -> Unix Workstation -> Linux . It has grown modestly, but not
enormously. Dual CPUs have a bigger growth market and potentially the
Microsoft HPC could help develop 4-way and 8-way processors as standard
Technical issues will not maintain the market for cluster computing. Nor
will technical best-of-breed win over uninterested markets. The past is
full of superior technical solutions losing to market accessible
good-enough solutions ( eg betamax vs VHS and token ring vs Ethernet ..
and the beat goes on...)
To paraphrase, I know (some) Linux, Linux is a "friend" of mine, Windows
is "No Linux" - but I doubt I am the market segment that Windows is "good
So please desist discussing technical superiority. Technical issues are
not the key issue in market segment growth of HPCs. So lets see who wants
CPU power with windows integration and discover how big that market is.
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